Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 7.638957 8.495949 9.457566 10.626451 12.022544 13.654349 15.732952
2024-12-29 6.466528 7.624528 9.047005 10.964509 13.550853 17.029899 22.279681
2025-01-05 5.546452 6.761402 8.335070 10.596158 13.898861 18.803524 27.238505
2025-01-12 4.880341 6.088132 7.711907 10.155796 13.947694 20.041877 31.769018
2025-01-19 4.419260 5.616967 7.277195 9.875592 14.124954 21.463797 37.216594
2025-01-26 4.122053 5.331399 7.056842 9.861240 14.694103 23.688571 45.490029
2025-02-02 4.065218 5.373900 7.310590 10.616771 16.731027 29.384468 66.432688
2025-02-09 3.943806 5.305220 7.380508 11.071108 18.325765 34.873505 93.677369
2025-02-16 3.751908 5.110500 7.226268 11.104072 19.089112 38.777913 121.914099
2025-02-23 3.642968 5.032401 7.249454 11.457426 20.616090 45.516472 179.737884
2025-03-02 3.409280 4.739651 6.886110 11.026494 20.277698 46.672950 209.467119
2025-03-09 3.228747 4.519898 6.628484 10.769166 20.297851 49.045893 259.262045
2025-03-16 3.056863 4.317983 6.410390 10.617556 20.691924 53.559734 368.682246
2025-03-23 2.970194 4.252069 6.429950 10.969601 22.540150 65.544273 796.855211
2025-03-30 2.792741 4.021653 6.131618 10.601623 22.328077 68.777808 1208.427059
2025-04-06 2.622955 3.793452 5.818680 10.160955 21.801592 70.244901 1751.561817
2025-04-13 2.489275 3.618611 5.590701 9.880543 21.688416 73.980961 3247.957793
2025-04-20 2.400261 3.514713 5.486568 9.866180 22.398297 83.467487 15598.471538
2025-04-27 2.406583 3.575569 5.699369 10.622282 25.918855 119.007071 NaN
2025-05-04 2.376049 3.568879 5.779830 11.076972 28.668814 159.782302 NaN
2025-05-11 2.305036 3.484888 5.698351 11.109961 29.853706 190.768879 NaN
2025-05-18 2.268526 3.461123 5.736813 11.463594 32.563310 260.778184 NaN
2025-05-25 2.164664 3.308031 5.496419 11.032322 31.662672 265.343354 NaN